- for truth. In a 1997 study,
Ralph Hertwig, Gerd Gigerenzer, and
Ulrich Hoffrage linked the
illusory truth effect to the
phenomenon known as "hindsight...
- 8290. doi:10.1016/0010-0277(95)00664-8. S2CID 18631755. Gigerenzer, G.;
Hoffrage, U. (1995). "How to
improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency...
- E202226. doi:10.21802/gmj.2022.2.6. ISSN 2414-1518. Gigerenzer, Gerd;
Hoffrage,
Ulrich (October 1995). "How to
improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction:...
- came from the
notion of
bounded rationality and was
explained by
Ulrich Hoffrage and
Torsten Reimer in
their studies of a "fast and
frugal heuristic approach"...
-
excessive confidence that one
knows the truth. For reviews, see
Harvey or
Hoffrage. Much of the
evidence for
overprecision comes from
studies in
which parti****nts...
- R.
Hoffrage, U. & the ABC
Research Group (2012).
Simple heuristics in a
social world. New York:
Oxford University Press. Hertwig, R. &
Hoffrage, U. (2012)...
- base-rate
fallacy in the
cognitive illusions literature.
Gigerenzer and
Ulrich Hoffrage were the
first to
develop and test a
representation called natural frequencies...
- Psychology. 73 (4): 544–552. doi:10.2307/1419942. JSTOR 1419942. PMID 13681411.
Hoffrage U (2004). "Overconfidence". In Pohl R (ed.).
Cognitive Illusions: a handbook...
- MH.
Martignon &
Hoffrage 2002 Fast,
Frugal and Fit:
simple heuristics for
paired comparison...
- 411–426. doi:10.1177/1745691612454303. PMID 26168501. S2CID 12660438.
Hoffrage, Ulrich; Pohl, Rüdiger (2003). "Research on
hindsight bias: A rich past...
